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A VERY realistic...and IMMEDIATE... threat to Camaro.

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Old 05-12-2009 | 02:45 PM
  #76  
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If you all feel so strongly that the industrial complex located out of Detroit is so vital to the defense and preservation of the US, why don't you just make it a permanent function of the US government. If it is as vital as you think it is, then it is no different than the military, and it should be treated as such. But that would be extreme, and even all of you can recognize that.

However Americans would rather choose the "third way", not quite socialism and not capitalism; rather the dirty ill defined in-between. That way we can all absolve our collective guilt in the face of failure and celebrate as nationalistic heroes in the event of success.
Old 05-12-2009 | 03:33 PM
  #77  
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Originally Posted by JeremyNYR
What if you go down one more level? The manufacturers/machine shops that produce components for all of those companies you listed may very well rely on GM and Chrysler for a large percentage of their business.
Its certainly possible that there would be some attrition in that respect. The overlap between the areas probably depends on exactly what is being made, with more overlap for something like a Humvee as compared to an F-22. The F-22 has somewhere in the range of a 1000 sub-contractors working on it, most of them highly specialized outfits that only do one thing...

Given the margins that can be made in gov't "cost plus" contracting, I think the overall impact would be minimal though. Thats not to mention that GM/Chrysler are not the only companies outside defense that are likely using those types of contract manufacturing services. Think about CAT, John Deere, the car companies that would still have plants here in the US, etc etc...
Old 05-12-2009 | 07:38 PM
  #78  
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Originally Posted by Z28Wilson
Yeah, we get it, you hate Wall Street. You hate the financial houses. But what maybe you don't understand is that in a lot of ways, we're ALL a part of Wall Street if we have investments or retirement plans based on this stuff. You C-A-N-N-O-T bend or break the rule of law to spite a particular group that you don't like. It sets dangerous precident.

Instead of raging against Wall Street, it may be helpful to remember WHO put GM in this mess in the first place. A huge portion of the blame falls on the company with the initials G and M....
Rules have always been broken. In fact there are rules designed to break rules. They're called loopholes in a legal context. Only the very few are able to escape the clutches of the law. The other is government. The world is continually evolving with dangerous precedents being set each day. You might not like it. I mightn't either. When I don't like it, I know I'll get people on my back for objecting publicly. Just like your good self.

I have no qualms about Wall Street if all they did was lend money to a thriving economy and stick to dealing with their financial instruments. I do object to them handing out huge sums of money to fund political campaigns and the like. I do object to them artificially inflating oil prices. I do object to them having a pecking order above that of government. We elect the government to rule for all. Implied, the government should regulate activities of financial institutions (ya know, those offering 40 year loans to people unable to pay it back ... GM is not the only liability in this climate right now. Global Financial crisis ring a bell?).

We've been down the path before about GM's failure to deal with its endemic problems. We don't need to keep bringing it up. What I would like to read more about is the new GM. But there's a good few here who religiously put themselves and their views out in an attempt to convince others of what's right for America... as if to say all is well right now but a disaster is looming!
Old 05-12-2009 | 08:26 PM
  #79  
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Originally Posted by nova
Except GM clearly IS for sale because finding someone willing to buy them, assume and pay their debt is currently the only way that GM will continue in its current incarnation. If someone came along willing to do that right this second, GM would be sold faster than you can blink because whatever money the shareholders got out of the deal, would be infinitely more than they'd get out of a bankruptcy...
So... what's the holdup? Why didn't the company get sold to the Russian Mafia or something??? (Clue: it's about who AMERICA is willing to sell it to).

And its only hostile if the shareholders are unwilling.
It's the Board of Directors that decide such things, not the shareholders.
I'm sorry but thats just hilarious that you think our ability to produce weaponry depends upon the existence of the likes of GM. Again this is not 1945 where you can convert the GM assembly line to start producing tanks and fighters. An M1 Abrams and F-22 Raptor are whole different beasts compared to M4 Shermans and F6 Hellcats...

I work in US Army development and procurement engineering support, so trust me when I say GM and Chrysler could completely disappear off the face of the earth today and our ability to produce bombs tanks and bullets would be completely unaffected. The companies that produce our defense infrastructure are the likes of Boeing ...
Glad I could provide some amusement (I guess?). But I wasn't claiming GM factories could start churning out F22's in a crisis. Obviously such production is a very specialized business. I was speaking more about the general infrastructure (plants, personnel, operational readiness) available to make industrial goods. All the other major industrial nations have understanding they need to support and nurture their industrial capacity. Only now is America starting to take action to keep up with this global trend. If done right it will help protect our national strength and security.
You wanna worry about something that will impact our national defense, worry about the cuts being made to F-22 production, development of missile defense, and any number of other development programs. That hurts a lot of companies that have no other business.

If you want to worry about a particalur company or two, worry about the likes of General Dynamics Land Systems, which is composed of what were GM and Chrysler Defense). If they ever disappear that will mean no more tanks and other armored vehicles.
That's a valid concern. But who will replace them in a crisis? Packard? ( http://www.johnpenrice.com/dnn/Packa...7/Default.aspx ). You said you are 26. I was entering USAF active duty in 1982 as an aerospace engineer, helping manage weapon system acquisitions, about the same time you were born. Aside from the 9/11 attacks, you've had a gentle and protected life in America (thru no fault of your own). In contrast, I remember wondering when the USSR was going to roll their armor over a weak and divided Europe. We came closer than a lot think, to that living He** during the 1970's. If it had happened we'd have given just about anything to boost production of conventional arms with which to fight Soviet expansion, so we didn't have to "go nuclear".

I hope we never have to fight another large-scale conventional war like WWII. I hope we never have to register our tires, ration our fuel, butter and milk, or weep over losing thousands of brave American troops in one day. But the best way to avoid it is to be ready, not snicker about how silly it all might be.

I don't recall saying that. China is as much a threat as any other major country.

Thing is, if two countries are economically entangled, the less likely they are to tangle militarily. Say China does get a lot of hard assets here in the US and then picks a fight. We can freeze those assets and hurt them severely. Same with all the US Gov't debt they have. Refusing to make payments to them during hostilities would hurt them severely.
If you think wars are typically started on a cold calculated basis of logic, you're more naive than even I expected. Wars often begin on the ego of a tyrant. China for example has had a chip on its shoulder for decades about the 'rightful position of Taiwan' (under China's boot of course)... maybe they will decide soon that it's time to just take over (and while on a roll, how about Japan too). Seeing the USA as having weak industrial capacity will only spur them on.

It's not just about China either. A resurgent Russia is just as bad... witness their recent handiwork in Georgia.

Back on this thread. Not much has been said about what a GM pullout from Canada might do to relations between us and Canada. It would be problematic on a lot of levels - such as our alliance and for that matter on GM trying to sell vehicles in Canada.
Old 05-12-2009 | 09:07 PM
  #80  
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Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
You said you are 26. I was entering USAF active duty in 1982 as an aerospace engineer, helping manage weapon system acquisitions, about the same time you were born. Aside from the 9/11 attacks, you've had a gentle and protected life in America (thru no fault of your own). In contrast, I remember wondering when the USSR was going to roll their armor over a weak and divided Europe. We came closer than a lot think, to that living He** during the 1970's. If it had happened we'd have given just about anything to boost production of conventional arms with which to fight Soviet expansion, so we didn't have to "go nuclear".
Get off your high horse. Living through the 70's and being in the military in the 80's doesn't make you smarter than anyone else, nor him dumber/less wise/whatever than anybody else.

And for what its worth, if the Russians had "rolled their armor" through Europe (got Fulda Gap?), we would have had two options: just "rolled over" ourselves and let them do it, or gone nuclear. There was no legitimate conventional option to that scenario...no matter what you may have believed or been told as a "butter bar".
Old 05-12-2009 | 10:57 PM
  #81  
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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...KRE&refer=homehttp://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/..._hXIQD984ARR00

Spokeswoman Julie Gibson says the sales don't show a lack of faith in the company. She says GM has disclosed publicly that shareholders run the risk of significant dilution or possibly losing their investments in a potential bankruptcy filing.
Old 05-13-2009 | 06:26 AM
  #82  
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Originally Posted by Bob Cosby
Get off your high horse. Living through the 70's and being in the military in the 80's doesn't make you smarter than anyone else, nor him dumber/less wise/whatever than anybody else.

And for what its worth, if the Russians had "rolled their armor" through Europe (got Fulda Gap?), we would have had two options: just "rolled over" ourselves and let them do it, or gone nuclear. There was no legitimate conventional option to that scenario...no matter what you may have believed or been told as a "butter bar".
It was your implication, not mine, about the intelligence of those involved in this discussion

It was nova who raised the topic of personal qualifications for this discussion, not me. I've not made any implications about his/her basic qualifications to contribute here (in contrast to your insinuations)... merely noted that I had a personal reason, based on actual American history, for being concerned about our national industrial infrastructure and its impact on national security.

Everyone's got their speculation about what might have happened in response to Soviet aggression had it come. But there are a variety of possibilities, made moreso by the perception of American industrial strength. Without it, we would indeed only have the nuclear option and that's a poor strategic posture that opens up a lot of interesting possibilities for potential adversaries.
Old 05-13-2009 | 09:05 AM
  #83  
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Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
...you've had a gentle and protected life in America...
Nope, you made no insinuations at all. None.

But I'll digress before someone (obviously not you) comes and whacks me upside the head....again.
Old 05-13-2009 | 09:23 AM
  #84  
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Wow! I am impressed by the depth of analysis in this thread. A number of well articulated positions that expose just how complex this issue is.

Still looking for the "popcorn" smilie.
Old 05-13-2009 | 10:52 AM
  #85  
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Originally Posted by SSbaby
We elect the government to rule for all.
I don't elect anyone to "rule". I elect people to lead. There is a difference. Government does not overrule law. And the "rules are made to be broken" speech you gave is certainly applied everywhere - I'm not dumb. That doesn't necessarily make it right however.

If the Obama administration has a problem with bankruptcy law and how this is all supposed to work in the context of GM and Chrysler, they need to pass legislation to change that law. THAT is how an elected government is supposed to work.
Old 05-13-2009 | 11:29 AM
  #86  
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Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
So... what's the holdup? Why didn't the company get sold to the Russian Mafia or something??? (Clue: it's about who AMERICA is willing to sell it to).
You finally hit the nail on the head, the holdup is that there is no buyer to speak of.

Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
It's the Board of Directors that decide such things, not the shareholders.
The BoD that is beholden too, representatives of and morally and ethically obgligated to provide the best return on investment possible to the shareholders. If the BoD refused a sale (say $2/share today) with an imminent bankruptcy that will completely wipe out the current shareholders looming on the horizone, they could and probably would be held civilly liable for the losses incurred to the shareholders. It would not be the first time a BoDs has been held liable for being derelict in their duties...


Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
Glad I could provide some amusement (I guess?). But I wasn't claiming GM factories could start churning out F22's in a crisis. Obviously such production is a very specialized business. I was speaking more about the general infrastructure (plants, personnel, operational readiness) available to make industrial goods.
But how does a factory that you can't readily convert to military production help? From my perspective it doesn't...

Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
All the other major industrial nations have understanding they need to support and nurture their industrial capacity.
Only now is America starting to take action to keep up with this global trend. If done right it will help protect our national strength and security.
Just because the rest of the world is doing it does not make it a good idea. There's a lot of evidence they are systematically weakening their industry and overall economy with these actions. Not to mention we're talking such defense powerhouses as some of our NATO "allies" who depend on the US military for such fundamental capability as strategic airlift.

Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
I was entering USAF active duty in 1982 as an aerospace engineer, helping manage weapon system acquisitions, about the same time you were born.
Small world to come across another aero around here


Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
But the best way to avoid it is to be ready, not snicker about how silly it all might be.
Who is snickering about anything? I want a strong national defense as much as anybody, hell my job depends on it. Throwing good money after bad just to make sure that 2 particular companies stay in the exact same **** poor state they've been in is not the way to do it, especially when it causes long term harm to the economy that lets us put forward real defense infrastructure.

For the money we pissed away on GM and Chrysler loans, we could have bough 100 more F-22s, 1000+ M1A2 Abrams tanks or nearly that many 64D Apache Longbows. Better yet we could have bought 50-60 more C-17 Globemasters to supplement our strategic airlift fleet which is rapidly wearing out.

There's any number of DoD programs where $15 billion would have been better spent and given us useful defense capability...

Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
If you think wars are typically started on a cold calculated basis of logic, you're more naive than even I expected. Wars often begin on the ego of a tyrant. China for example has had a chip on its shoulder for decades about the 'rightful position of Taiwan' (under China's boot of course)... maybe they will decide soon that it's time to just take over (and while on a roll, how about Japan too). Seeing the USA as having weak industrial capacity will only spur them on.
Based on your own statement, wars are started on the ego of tyrants and if they're not concerned with our massive combat capability, then they're sure not thinking about what our heavy industry capacity is now are they?

I can guarandamntee you that last thing any potential adversaries are looking at when considering going up against us is how many Chevy Malibu's and Dodge Chargers we can crank out. They're looking at our current combat capability, not our possible maybe combat capability 2 years from now if we manage to get the factories converted over...


Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
It's not just about China either. A resurgent Russia is just as bad... witness their recent handiwork in Georgia.
A resurgent Russia thats fast on its way to crashing back to earth because the only way they had any money at all to rebuild the military was oil exports? That Russia?
Old 05-13-2009 | 12:37 PM
  #87  
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Originally Posted by BigDarknFast
So... what's the holdup? Why didn't the company get sold to the Russian Mafia or something??? (Clue: it's about who AMERICA is willing to sell it to).
As far as who America is willing to sell to. That has nothing to do with it. If anyone was willing to buy GM at a price point that would have made the shareholders money it would have been sold. (Clue: it' NOT about who AMERICA is willing to sell it to) Its about who is willing to buy it (Clue #2: NO ONE!!!!)
Old 05-15-2009 | 05:28 PM
  #88  
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Well, it's the 15th. Any news?
Old 05-16-2009 | 02:10 AM
  #89  
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Damn.....am I ever glad that I bought a lightly used 2008 GT500 last week! I have a feeling the marketplace for a factory built fun car is going to get pretty tight very soon based on these threads!
Old 05-16-2009 | 04:22 PM
  #90  
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This thread is great! Good info and minimal bashing!!

One thing I wanted to get an opinion on, is the idea of government intervention is the root of all evil. I was under the impression that deregulation of the markets allowed the banking policies to go unchecked that created a lot of this mess. Deregulation meaning less involvement of the government in the private sector.
Unfortunately I believe that the current economy has allow the government to swing to far the other way. I think finding the correct balance will be tough if not impossible because of the speed that the market changes and the length of time it takes for government to react.

I also agree that a Chevy, Caddy GM would make them much more profitable IMO. But to say that the trickle down effect of job losses makes me cringe is an understatement.........

Last edited by Andy30thZ; 05-16-2009 at 04:24 PM.



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